CLIMATE 2012

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FACT, FANCY  & MYTHOLIZATION

SUPER-ERUPTIONS, MANIC SUN, RISING SEA & MEGA-METHANE 

No one would argue against the fact that Earth's climate is a complex dynamic of multiple factors, both known and unknown. Until recent times we believed in an evolutionary arc to the inhabitability of the planet's surface.  But more recent research shows a history punctuated by a variety of cycles and even catastrophes, which contribute to massive extinctions.  The eruption of a supervolcano, Toba, in Sumatra, around 74,000 years ago squeezed the human gene pool down to a population bottleneck of perhaps as little as 5-10,000 survivors by creating a volcanic winter.  Clearly, we are in Nature's hands, and she is not always a kind mother.

THE MAYAN CONNECTION: Beginning or End?

Human beings have a propensity for setting Doomsdays and their optimistic counterparts. We've seen The Millennium, Harmonic Convergence, Comet Kohotek, and other portentious dates for Apocalypse Now come and go.  Now the mytholization of the big event has been pushed back to 2012 in the popular imagination. The Maya knew that 2012 marks the end of one and beginning of another Precessional cycle of 25,765 - 26,000 years.

The precession of the equinoxes, zero-point of the cosmic clock, is caused by the differential gravitational forces of Sun and Moon (torque vector) on the gyroscopic Earth. The combined effects of the changing distance to the Sun, the precession of the Earth's axis, and the changing tilt of the Earth's axis redistribute the sunlight received by the Earth. The tilt of the Earth's axis affects the intensity of seasons.

The Milky Way Galaxy represented the Great Cosmic Mother from which all Life came. They saw our Galactic Mother stretching out across the night sky and somehow recognized the place where we all had come from. They recognized the great central bulge at Her center as the Cosmic Womb. Within the central bulge there is what looks like a dark corridor, known as the dark rift. The Maya called it the "birthing place".

2012 specifically points to a period of time when the December Solstice Sun aligns with and arises out from the backdrop of the dark rift, the "Galactic Birth Canal" in the central bulge. It's as if the Sun is actually being birthed anew from the Galactic Womb. If so, it's being reborn with an angry fit of manic depression in the process of a solar heating cycle.

We may have entered the cycle already. The Mayan calculation wasn't exact but targets a 20 year cycle of transition. According to the most recent astronomical calculations the Solstice Meridian actually coincided most precisely with the Galactic Equator between 1998 and 1999. The Millennium, which was considered an 'arbitrary' calculation may have thus been a better marker than the similarly-heralded Mayan date.

2020 VISION

Why has climate become such a political and psychological hot potato? Don't believe either the Right or the Left on global warming? What if BOTH ARE TRUE, but potentiating an unstoppable 1500 yr. solar warming cycle that coincides with Stonehenge, Bronze age, Mayan drought, Dark Ages, Little Ice Age and more - influencing major epochs of civilization. Inside sources say the exact cycle is 1538 years.  Whether we believe the Cassandras of pop culture, or not, there are sound scientific reasons to predict we are in for a bumpy ride in the near future.  Early warning storms have already begun.

Only that number 1538 matches EVERYTHING, from astrophysics to cultural history and climatology. It only makes our efforts to control greenhouse gases MORE critical and necessary. Maybe that is why NASA is attempting to block solar melting of methane tundra, and explains the urgency of chemtrails and tiny sparkles. 

Edward Teller, the real Dr. Stranglove, developed the seeding of thousands of tons of microparticles of aluminum in the upper atmosphere to try to increase the albedo reflectivity of the planet to avert global warming. This is only one attempt at geoengineering, whch is also one capacity of the HAARP Project and its sister ionospheric heaters around the globe.

What's All the Flap About 2012?

This same cycle may have impacted the Maya. Do the math. Lots of people are predicting vast changes for the year 2012, but what about thinking just a little beyond that. How can we develop "2020 Vision" to make the best of an unavoidable situation?  We have to widen our field of view from plausible if unlikely scenarios of meteorites or comets and pollution to grasp the Big Picture of Earth's climate in terms of deep time cycles.
 

To really comprehend just how delicately balanced our fragile planet is we need to consider the astrophysics converging on our region of space.  Then it becomes easier to see how the slightest perturbations to our atmosphere can cause dramatic rifts in the course of our geophysical destiny.  Many complex forces are already impacting the Earth, particularly our global weather patterns.

Galactic Cycles & Precession 

This rain of small comets called impact surges, (2/3 from disk tides and 1/3 from distant matter tides), is influential in the pulsing and advancing of ice sheets over millennia and implicated in mass extinctions.  It affects the oceanic heat pump that acts as a global ocean conveyor.  This salt pump moves warm water into northern climes, like the eastern seaboard and Europe, keeping them habitable, while cooling the tropics.  Its collapse would mean that warm, salty Gulf Stream water would no longer move north, facilitating another Ice Age.

Solar Max and Minimum

The sun is warmer now than for the past 11,400 years.

Research has suggested that the sun itself has been in a heating cycle and may be a significant component in global warming, (1 degree F. per year since 1880).  Limited results suggested the sun produced .05% more radiation per decade since the late ‘70s.  The sun’s alleged increasing output means stronger solar winds sweeping across the upper atmosphere, exciting and ionizing it with charged particles.  Sustained over decades it could lead to dramatic climate fluctuation, as in the historical past,

The big question is can we get through this cycle without a catastrophic 'die off' or another human Dark Age?  Only time will tell, but we have new tools at our disposal for both prediction and attempts at prevention or survival.  Vast extinctions are already underway in ocean life, plant and animal life that doesn't adapt to changing conditions.

3 x 1538 = 4614-2007 = {{{2607}}} 

Global Dimming

“Examinations of ancient tree rings and other data show temperatures declined starting in the 13th Century, bottomed out at 2 degrees below the long-term average during the 17th Century, and did not climb back to previous levels until the late 19th Century. Separate records of sunspots, auroral activity (the Northern Lights) and terrestrial deposits of certain substances generated in atmospheric reactions triggered by solar output, suggest the Sun was persistently active prior to the onset of this Little Ice Age, as scientists call the event.  Solar activity was lowest during the 17th Century, when Earth was most frigid.” (Britt, 2003).

The output of the sun fluctuates in an 11 year cycle, which had two peaks in 2000 and 2002. At solar maximum, as much as 2% increase in clouds over the US has been reported. When bombarded with maximum solar output, the temperature of the thin upper atmosphere doubles.  It swells and puffs up further into space, up to and beyond the orbit of the International Space Station.  It can even increase drag on the ship that needs frequent boosts from space shuttles to maintain its momentum.

“Large-scale ocean and climate variations on Earth can also mask long-term trends and can make it difficult to sort out what is normal, what is unusual, and which effects might or might not result from shifts in solar radiation.  To get above all this, scientists rely on measurements of total solar energy, at all wavelengths, outside Earth's atmosphere. The figure they derive is called Total Solar Irradiance (TSI).

“The new study shows that the TSI has increased by about 0.1 percent over 24 years. That is not enough to cause notable climate change, Willson and his colleagues say, unless the rate of change were maintained for a century or more.  On time scales as short as several days, the TSI can vary by 0.2 percent due to the number and size of sunspots crossing the face of the Sun. That shift, said to be insignificant to weather, is however equal to the total amount of energy used by humans, globally, for a year, the researchers estimate.  The study analyzed data from six satellites orbiting Earth at different times over the 24 years. Willson ferreted out errors in one of the datasets that had prevented previous studies from discovering the trend.

“A separate recent study of Sun-induced magnetic activity near Earth, going back to 1868, provides compelling evidence that the Sun's current increase in output goes back more than a century, Willson said. He said firm conclusions about whether the present changes involve a long-term trend or a relatively brief aberration should come with continued monitoring into the next solar minimum, expected around 2006.” (Britt, 2003).

Latest speculation has tried to link appearance of mysterious chemtrails to the deployment of HAARP technology. Reported analyses of the "angel-hair" taken from the atmosphere after a day of spraying claim a variety of toxins. Viral bacteria, toxic molds, carbon black and E.D.B.M. (ethylene di-bromide: highly carcinogenic chemical additive for fuel banned about twenty years ago) have been identified.  Speculation about these sprayed grids includes increasing reflectivity in certain layers of the atmosphere, and broadcasting of pathogens to facilitate undetectable 'die off', since overpopulation is our #1 problem, and other shortages result from it.

Further, explanation of the serious and widespread drought conditions are directly related to the fact that the highly toxic and moisture absorbing (up to seven times it's own weight) Barium salt has also been detected in high quantities in the atmosphere right after a spraying event. These sprayings may therefore be linked to the U.S. Military program, "H.A.A.R.P." (High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program) operating in Gakona, Alaska and its "weather engineering" capabilities. 

WHEN THE SUN GETS BLUE

Many climate experts take the Maunder minimum seriously and many stars indicate similar dips in activity. The evidence comes from decreased emission in the element CALCIUM from the star's atmosphere.  Solar activity is characterized by strong magnetic fields that hear the sun's upper atmosphere, or chromosphere to 8-10,000 degrees Kelvin, exciting CALCIUM to emit BLUE LIGHT. 

Calcium doubling in the solar spectrum is the first warning and could come as soon as 2009. 

SOLAR SYSTEM WARMING 

Global warming extends to Mars, where the polar ice cap is shrinking, where deep gullies in the landscape are now laid bare, and where the climate is the warmest it has been in decades or centuries.

"One explanation could be that Mars is just coming out of an ice age," NASA scientist William Feldman speculated after the agency's Mars Odyssey completed its first Martian year of data collection. "In some low-latitude areas, the ice has already dissipated." With each passing year more and more evidence arises of the dramatic changes occurring on the only planet on the solar system, apart from Earth, to give up its climate secrets.

The sun's increased irradiance over the last century, not C02 emissions, is responsible for the global warming we're seeing, says the celebrated scientist, and this solar irradiance also explains the great volume of C02 emissions.

"It is no secret that increased solar irradiance warms Earth's oceans, which then triggers the emission of large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. So the common view that man's industrial activity is a deciding factor in global warming has emerged from a misinterpretation of cause and effect relations."

Dr. Abdussamatov goes further, debunking the very notion of a greenhouse effect. "Ascribing 'greenhouse' effect properties to the Earth's atmosphere is not scientifically substantiated," he maintains. "Heated greenhouse gases, which become lighter as a result of expansion, ascend to the atmosphere only to give the absorbed heat away."

The real news from Saint Petersburg -- demonstrated by cooling that is occurring on the upper layers of the world's oceans -- is that Earth has hit its temperature ceiling. Solar irradiance has begun to fall, ushering in a protracted cooling period beginning in 2012 to 2015. The depth of the decline in solar irradiance reaching Earth will occur around 2040, and "will inevitably lead to a deep freeze around 2055-60" lasting some 50 years, after which temperatures will go up again.

Ice ages also correlate with magnetic activity on the Sun.

According to Mukul Sharma, Assistant Professor of Earth Sciences at Dartmouth, the Sun displays a 100,000-year cycle of magnetic activity that corresponds to the Earth's ice age history.

Sharma's calculations suggest that when the Sun is magnetically more active, the Earth experiences a warmer climate, and vice versa, when the Sun is magnetically less active, there is a glacial period. Right now, the Earth is in an interglacial period (between ice ages). This is also a time of high solar activity.

This cycle appears to match the 100,000-year ice-age cycle first theorized by Milutin Milankovitch, which suggests that ice ages correspond to the cyclical varations in the Earth's orbit around the Sun. (Earth & Planetary Science Ltrs, Vol. 199, issues 3-4, June 10, 2002).

Underwater volcanoes and surface eruptions also change the climate in shorter cycles. But retrieval of beryllium from Antarctic ice indicates the hotter sun is a bigger factor which outweighs dust and green houses gases. 

Cycles of global warming and cooling are not related in any significant way to the Precession of the Equinoxes. They are related to Earth's position in the galactic debris field.  We are in the debris plane for about 90,000years out of 100,000 and then just peek above or below by about 2 degrees of arc.

However, coincidentally, there is an amplification of the normal cycle around the Precessional year 2012, when several factors conspire to change the usual outcome in both directions - to potentially amplify or minimize it. 

The #1 effect of global warming will be the mutation of tropical diseases into deadlier forms as they move north.

The human race has an unprecedented chance to work knowledgeably within this deep time cycle to avert the final Ice Age of this great period, giving ourselves and the planet a balmier longterm forecast,  The peak of the hot/dry cycle which kicks off in 2010-2012 is in 2200, and recovery begins in 2310.

The salient thing about the onset of global warming is that it is always SUDDEN and powerful, like a single explosion that ehoes for 1537 years, gradually diminishing, but born in full force. Every third cycle is stronger. Changes in cultures like Stonehenge, Bronze Age and other unexplained gaps and leaps show a correlation to these cycle.

We know Stonehenge was laid out around 2500 BCE because the Solstice points align then. Stonehenge builders are considered "refugees fromthe east", but where in the East. A historical glance shows multiple stories dating around 2600 BCE, including the Biblical flood and te flowering of the cold stunted Indus Valley, Gilgamesh and Ur, with their celestial mathematics and fascination for planetary movements.

Loss of these ancient centers to technological dark ages relegated them to the world of myth until modern archaeology began finding their hidden remains and wondering at their accurate predictions and mathematics.

The transition from Mesolithic hunter-gatherers to the settled lifestyle of the Neolithic period seems revolutionary.  But the two periods are actually separated by nearly half a millennium of apparent emptiness in the archaeological evidence, from 4500 – 4000 BCE.  Another transition period happens between the Late Bronze Age and Early Iron Age, in the 7^th-8^th centuries BCE.  This emptiness in the historical record corresponds to the ‘darkness’ of more historical dark ages. http://www.darkage.fsnet.

THIS alignment is the one – the ninth 250 year hot/dry spell is much more powerful.  It will start in earnest about January 2010 and coincide with the next solar peak.  Consider this a firm prediction – the interiors of all the continents will be desertified and moisture will be sequestered in the Antarctic icesheet. Temperature, while an issue, particularly in crop production, will take a backseat to the availability of pure water.  Warming will paradoxically lead to dramatic increase in Antarctic ice sheets, which may have already begun.

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v375/n6526/abs/375050a0.html
 Recent deformations of the deep continental root beneath southern Africa

http://www.wun.ac.uk/horizons/earthsystems/documents/alley_version2.pdf

Carbon dioxide levels are about 400 ppm right now (2007).  When and if they rise to 700 ppm, the first big methane burst could occur.  Most likely the site would be the Bering shelf, which would trigger a whole series of releases.  This scenario can be prevented by removing as much methane ice as practicable from the Bering shelf on the north side of the Aleutians.  

This would short-circuit the methane runaway. Methane ice is a plausible alternative fuel, as well. Curiously, the Aleutians are a high gravity zone, an exception in that most of them occur in the 30n to 30s mountain ranges of the equatorial bulge zone. Methane from thawing tundra will also likely be mined for its energy potential and to prevent its escape into the atmosphere.

MASS OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM

A major stimulus for perturbation of Earth’s climate is the ordinary cycle of bunching of extra solar mass and its angle from galactic center.  Jupiter is usually the timer because it is the fastest moving of the massive planets. Change can be trigger early and massively in the cycle, or more gradually.

Nobody is looking into heliocentric/geocentric linkage.

Dalton Minnimum

heliocentric-as seen from sun  and geocentric-as seen from earth  were

congruent

265° celestial longitude--result is agitation of earth moon barycenter

and cooling due to vulcanism

1800-1816- net effect cool sun, no sunspots. jupiter offsets through

most of period

GALACTIC ALIGNMENT

SPIRAL ARMS of GALAXY